The Impact of Cross-border E-commerce on Traditional Import and Export Trade in China

Abstract

The purpose of this thesis is to study the impact of cross-border E-commerce on traditional import and export trade in China, and further analyze what trade measures we should take in the current age when cross-border E-commerce experiences a spurt. In advantage of measuring software Eviews and statistics in time sequence from 2008 to 2016, four most key elements are selected (the total scale of cross-border E-commerce trade, GDP, financial crisis and FDI) to establish a model of impact element for import and export trade in China, so as to make a linear regression analysis and empirical analysis. The conclusions demonstrate that the development of cross-border E-commerce is closely connected to the traditional import and export trade in China, the latter of which is somewhat impacted by the former in the short term, displaying an inverse change.